Model Overview
v413-signal composite model combining Vegas odds, MoneyPuck xG/Corsi, Elo ratings, goalie stats, and special teams. Predictions run hourly. Trades execute on Kalshi across moneyline markets.
12 Weighted Signals
Vegas Odds22%
Injury Impact11%
Win %10%
MoneyPuck xG10%
Goal Diff8%
Home Ice7%
Special Teams7%
Goalie SV%6%
Rest + Travel6%
Elo Rating6%
Line Movement5%
Streak2%
Confidence Thresholds
STRONG >57%
LEAN 52–57%
SKIP <52%
Notes
Playoffs starting — model weights stable. MoneyPuck xG + Corsi added in v4. Spread/O/U bet types coming soon.