Model Overview

v6

13-signal composite with Vegas anchor + Elo rating + star player impact + rest/travel awareness. Predictions run hourly. Trades execute on Kalshi across moneyline markets. Spread + O/U + player props coming soon.

13 Weighted Signals

Vegas Odds23%
Win %11%
Star Player9%
Elo Rating9%
Injury Impact8%
Home Court7%
Rest + Travel7%
Shooting7%
Defense6%
Line Movement6%
L10 Form5%
Pace5%
Streak2%

Confidence Thresholds

STRONG >60%
LEAN 5560%
SKIP <55%

Notes

Playoffs starting — rest/travel signals become more predictive in postseason. Player prop modules (points, assists, rebounds, threes, double-double, triple-double) planned after player stats ingestion.

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